Quote:
Originally Posted by kaos713
Imagine the same gameshow where there's a million doors, one has a car. You randomly pick one (one in a million chance of getting it right). Then the host opens 999,998 doors to reveal nothing. Are you going to change your pick to that other door that he hasn't opened? Of course you are, you only had a one in a million chance of getting it right in the first place, it's near certain the car's behind that other door.
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This is the same sort of scenario posed by the atheist blog article I quoted from. If I chose one door from a million and 999,998 were opened to reveal nothing, then that would mean there was a 99.9999% chance I had chosen the right door to begin with. I would stick with my choice.
We Christians are top-tier probabilists and statisticians. We don't even have to do our own research; we just quote figures we've heard from around the place. Did you know the probability the big bang created the universe as we know it is about the same as a brick factory exploding and creating a house?
The Monty Hall problem tends to create a lot of contention. It supposedly shows how people can be completely confident in a belief yet completely wrong and how the human mind is a poor judge of probability. Atheists are using the problem to undermine religion in general.
You haven't told us what your religious persuasion is, and you should start a thread in the introduction forum and tell us. But assuming you believe in the big bang theory and evolution, what's the probability that everything came from nothing? What's the probability that God doesn't exist?